MARTIN WILLIAM BAXTER
- Born: 1968 in Edinburgh, UK citizen
Electoral Calculus (www.electoralcalculus.co.uk) is an independent website which provides analysis, comment and predictions of general elections, polls and democracy. It is run by Martin Baxter, and is the longest-running predictor of UK general elections.
Right more often than wrong, Electoral Calculus has built a reputation over the years as a trusted
provider of electoral facts, data and predictions. It has pioneered new electoral models and user-defined predictions, as well as giving individual constituency drilldown to ward level. It is regularly cited in the national press, and is consulted by MPs, candidates and opinion formers.
Martin Baxter is an renowned expert in algorithms, models and data. With twenty years experience in politics, finance, industry and academia, he has an exceptional record of creating and delivering quantitative projects which make a real difference. He focuses on bringing together the creative, theoretical and practical aspects to deliver high-quality solutions at low cost. Problems can include anything in the quantitative or algorithmic area, particularly data analysis, forecasting, data-based decision algorithms, and data visualization.
Additionally, he utilises his communication skills, both presentational and written, to communicate technical topics clearly to both general and specialist audiences, and to build consensus for change within and between organisations.
- 1986-1993, Pembroke College, University of Cambridge
- 1990-93, Ph.D. Degree in Pure Mathematics under Prof David
- 1989-90, Certificate of Advanced Studies in Mathematics (Part III
of the Mathematical Tripos). Achieved Honours with distinction.
- 1986-89, B.A. Degree in Mathematics. Achieved Honours with
three First Class results.
- 1973-1986, Daniel Stewart's and Melville College, Edinburgh
AWARDS AND DISTINCTIONS
- 1992 Smith's Prize (first category), University of Cambridge
- 1989 Kilby Prize (senior scholar), Pembroke College
- 1988 Blackburne-Daniell Prize (senior second year scholar),
- 1986 Dux, Daniel Stewart's and Melville College
- 1980 Melville Scholarship, Daniel Stewart's and Melville College
- 1989+90 Vacation employment in the Systems Laboratory of
the Radar Division of (GEC) Ferranti Defence Systems Ltd, Edinburgh.
- 1986+87 Vacation employment in the Unit-Linked department
of the Scottish Life Assurance Company Ltd, Edinburgh.
- Also mathematical and statistical consultancy for commerce
- October 1997 to date, internal programmes at Nomura International
- January-July 1996 Lecturing Financial Calculus course
to groups from the financial industry
- Easter and Michaelmas 1997 Lecturing Time Series for the Diploma
in Statistics, Cambridge
- Michaelmas 1996 Lecturing Advanced Probability in Part III of
the Mathematical Tripos, Cambridge.
- Lent 1995 Lecturing Markov Processes in Part III.
- Fall 1994 Lecturer in charge of Vector Calculus 317 at
the Mathematics Department, University of British Columbia.
- from 1990, Supervision in Cambridge at all levels of the
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